Climate Fwd: A North Carolina town risks washing away

Also this week, how long until electric vehicles take over? And, rising U.S. plastic waste exports.

We're also covering the transition to electric vehicles and American exports of plastic waste.

Beach erosion hotspots in Buxton, N.C.Erin Schaff/The New York Times

What are we willing to pay to fight the rising sea?

As the ocean rises, homeowners in Avon, a tiny town on the Outer Banks of North Carolina, are confronting a tax increase of almost 50 percent to defend the only road into town. Residents want somebody else to pay for it; local officials say they're on their own.

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But the proposed fix, spending at least $11 million to add one million cubic yards of sand to the beach, is temporary. That's because the sand will wash away again. Residents want a more lasting fix; officials say there isn't one.

Quotable: "We're just masking a problem that never gets fixed," a longtime resident of Avon said.

Why it matters: Avon's dilemma is a prelude for countless towns and cities along America's coast, which are increasingly being forced to raise taxes or borrow money to protect their homes, roads and schools. As seas keep rising, so will the cost of holding back the water.

The shift to electric vehicles: It's complicated

Even as automakers start selling newer, cleaner electric vehicles, older gasoline powered cars could stick around on the roads for decades. As we show in a visual piece, the slow pace of "fleet turnover" poses a major challenge for climate policy.

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The numbers: If the United States wanted to move to a fully electric fleet by 2050, then sales of vehicles with internal combustion engines would have to end altogether by around 2035. That would be a heavy lift.

Why it matters: The slow pace of fleet turnover, experts said, means that policymakers may need to look at additional strategies, like reshaping cities to make people less dependent on cars, if they want to meet ambitious climate goals. — Brad Plumer

Trash pickers scoured the Bantar Gabang landfill in Indonesia for recyclable plastic last year.Adam Dean for The New York Times

Americans are exporting more plastic waste

When more than 180 nations came together to place strict controls on the export of plastic waste from richer countries to poorer ones, it was supposed to transform how the world handled plastic.

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Environmental groups had hoped the new rules, adopted in 2019, would stem the mountains of scrap plastic that countries like the United States dump on developing nations, where much of it ends up polluting rivers and streams.

But remarkably, trade data for January, the first month the new rules came into force, showed that American companies seem to simply be disregarding the new rules. The numbers showed:

  • Exports of scrap plastic from the United States actually edged upward, to 48 million tons from 45 million tons the previous January.
  • Exports to poorer nations were virtually unchanged from a year ago, totaling 25 million tons. Countries like Malaysia and Indonesia remained major destinations for American scrap plastic.

After our report went out, Malaysia's Environment and Water Ministry said it would investigate.

You can read more in our article here. — Hiroko Tabuchi

Also important this week:

And finally, we recommend:

There's a global plan to conserve nature. Indigenous people could lead the way.

Awapu Uru Eu Wau Wau, right, led an expedition in the Brazilian Amazon to chase out illegal loggers in 2019.Victor Moriyama for The New York Times

For a few months now, my colleague Catrin Einhorn and I have been hearing people in the conservation world talk about something called 30x30. The idea is to get the world's presidents and prime ministers to agree to protect 30 percent of Earth's lands and waters for biodiversity by 2030 — and to stop gobbling up nature for our own inexhaustible desires.

What we found in our reporting was that nature is already healthier in places that are not run by presidents and prime ministers at all. It is healthier on lands managed by Indigenous communities and others who have managed to make a small, sustainable living from the plants and animals around them, not fence it off.

We interviewed local community leaders in Northern Canada, on the islands of Papua New Guinea, and in the forests of Brazil and Guatemala. We learned about the many different models they had used to protect biodiversity. What they all had in common was that they saw themselves as part of one ecosystem. They made a living from nature by protecting it, by not taking too much.

Their efforts offer lessons for the rest of us. Please have a look. — Somini Sengupta

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Correction: Because of an editing error, last week's newsletter stated incorrectly the cost of a plan to protect Louisiana's coastline from rising seas. It is $50 billion, not $50 million.

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